Adler says he is eager to surf again, despite the attack.Reminds me of the old (pre-9/11) joke about the guy who always carried a bomb on the plane with him to protect himself from other bombers--after all, what's the probability that there are two bombs on the plane?
"Now I know I'm not gonna get bit again so I'm not scared," he told WSVN. "I mean, how many people get bitten by a shark, twice?"
For both situations I have two words: conditional probability.
The kid's only 15, though, so it's possible he hasn't studied probability yet.
1 comment:
He actually phrased it properly ... I suspect that the number of people who get bitten twice is probably at least an order of magnitude less than the number who get bit once ... On the other hand, the odds that he gets bitten are still the same. So had he said, since it's already happened once, it won't happen again ... that would be wrong.
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