Thursday, October 27, 2022

Maybe There Are No Tailpipe Emissions....

I have friends with Teslas.  The cars are fun to drive in.  But let's not pretend they're so-called zero-emission vehicles:

As California, New York, and other states move to phase out the sale of gasoline-powered cars, public officials routinely echo the Biden administration’s claim that electric vehicles are a “zero emissions” solution that can significantly mitigate the effects of climate change. 

Car and energy experts, however, say there is no such thing as a zero-emissions vehicle: For now and the foreseeable future, the energy required to manufacture and power electric cars will leave a sizable carbon footprint. In some cases hybrids can be cleaner alternatives in states that depend on coal to generate electricity, and some suggest that it may be too rash to write off all internal combustion vehicles just yet. 

“I have a friend who drives a Kia he’s had for about 15 years,” said Ashley Nunes, a research fellow at Harvard Law School. “He called me and said, ‘Hey, I’m thinking of buying a Tesla. What do you think?’” 

“I said, ‘If you care about the environment, keep the Kia,’” Nunes said. 

Nunes’ advice points to the subtle complexities and numerous variables that challenge the reassuringly simple yet overstated promise of electric vehicles. Few dispute that the complete transition to EVs powered by cleaner electricity from renewable energy sources will have a less dire environmental impact than today’s gas-powered automotive fleet. But that low-carbon landscape exists on a distant horizon that’s booby-trapped with obstacles and popular misconceptions. 

In the meantime, the growing efforts by governments in this country and abroad to ban people from buying a transportation technology that has shaped modern society for the past century is prompting some electric car advocates to warn against using best-case scenarios to promote unrealistic expectations about the practicalities, costs, and payoffs of EVs. 

Shocking to me was the quote from a professor at Berkeley-lite:

“They're making these forecasts that are basically licking your finger and sticking it up in the air,” David Rapson, a professor of energy economics at the University of California, Davis, who analyzes electric vehicle policy, said about California forecasts, which also applies more broadly. “Nobody knows what's going to happen."

Will tenure protect him?

Read the whole thing.

1 comment:

Randomizer said...

What's more irritating, the old religion or the new one?

Sure, one would occasionally get asked about being born again, but that didn't happen often and they usually took 'no' for an answer. The new environmental religion can't be ignored, and they don't take 'no' or logic for an answer.

If the price was equivalent, I'd consider an electric riding lawnmower. I cut my grass once per week, only do it when the weather is pleasant and expect the mower to last 10 years or so.

None of that applies to my car. If I'm taking a trip, especially with the camper, I don't have 8 hours to recharge after driving a hundred miles. Winter temperatures here routinely go below zero, so the heat that comes with an IC engine is welcome. My Toyota is worth a little less than half what I paid for it. Paying $6000 to replace a ten year old battery would hurt.

Electric vehicles are not generally practical. Until we start building nuclear power plants, I don't believe that anyone really thinks that they are.